American Apparel Update
- Posted by Michael Bigger
- on July 7th, 2011
We are analyzing a special situation with American Apparel ($APP). As background, $APP secured rescue capital from Michael Serruya and Delavaco Capital on April 26 to help $APP avoid filing for bankruptcy. The company was able to re-negotiate the terms of their debt to avoid default provisions triggered when 2010 financial statements contained a “going concern” clause. At that time we initiated a small long position in the stock, and we have been monitoring the situation ever since. On July 1 APP announced plans to replace 2 of their directors. At that time we added to our position.
Today $APP announced sales numbers for the quarter ended June. Sales were flat relative to last year’s June quarter, $132mm, despite a decrease in the number of stores. We think this is very positive for the company. Wholesale sales were down 4%, with the implication that retail / online sales made up the deficit. We think this is a positive for operating margins. We think of this company as a potential turnaround story, and today’s news represents confirmation that numbers are starting to turn around. The earnings report is scheduled for August 1.
We think $APP offers a good risk/reward profile, with high risk but higher reward potential. Here are the main points:
- Serruya and Delavaco Capital bought 15.8mm shares at $0.90 per share. They have the option to buy another 27.4mm shares at $0.90 within 6 months of the initial investment [October 26]
- As part of the terms of the investment, the CEO of the company has an anti-dilution provision. If APP reaches stock price performance goals of $3.25 by 2013, $4.25 by 2014, and $5.25 by 2015, the CEO receives a total of 39.7mm additional shares.
- The company’s 2010 sales were $533mm. Costs are high in both Cost of Goods and Selling / General & Administrative costs, but with some cost-cutting measures the company may be able to return to profitability.
- Total debt is well-collateralized:
- Long-Term Debt as of Year End 2010: Total $139mm
- Revolving Credit Facility at Bank of America, $75mm, $53.4mm is drawn, due July 2012
- Term Loan at Lion, $81.2mm matures Dec 31, 2013
- Assets as Collateral for Debt (as of Year End 2010): Total $287.3mm
- Cash $7.6mm
- Accounts Receivable $16.7mm
- Inventory $178mm
- Property and Equipment $85mm
- The company may now have enough time to return to profitability before cash runs out. The current rescue investment is for $15mm immediately plus an additional $25mm over the next 6 months at the discretion of the investor, for a total potential cash infusion of $40mm this year. Total cash usage for operating activities was $32mm in 2010, although it should be noted that in 2010 the company reduced inventory by $37mm (20%).
- The company is scheduled to announce earnings on August 1.
The information in this blog post represents my own opinions and does not contain a recommendation for any particular security or investment. I or my affiliates may hold positions or other interests in securities mentioned in the Blog, please see my Disclaimer page for my full disclaimer.blog comments powered by Disqus
Michael Bigger is an investor and a trader who has been involved with trading technologies for more than twenty years. In 1992, Michael joined Citibank as head trader of U.S. single-stock derivatives, where he managed a $5 billion portfolio of equity derivatives. In 1998, he joined D.E. Shaw & Co., L.P. to trade the U.S. equity derivatives portfolio. (More)